How Bills Win AFC East; It’s not as hard as you might think
The Buffalo Bills lost to the New England Patriots last night by a score of 14-10. The game was something NFL fans rarely see, as New England attempted three assists in total throughout the game.
The reason the Patriots attempted three passes and executed the ball 46 times was due to the high winds at Orchard Park. The 40-45mph wind gusts made kicks extremely difficult and passes were risky as well.
Bills quarterback Josh Allen threw for 145 yards, with a lot of those yards blowing towards the scorecard end zone, which is one of Allen’s most impressive exploits in his career. career, and no, I’m not kidding – this wind was absolutely ridiculous.
The Bills lost the game for several reasons: poor practice decisions (time management, clock management, play call), red zone efficiency and bad tackles, which led the Patriots to run more. of 200 meters.
The loss puts the Bills at 7-5 and still in the playoff position, while the Patriots start their weekend off at 9-4 and lead the AFC East.
I know it’s not a good day to look at things with optimism (really tough, actually), however, the Bills still have a reasonable chance of not only making the playoffs but winning the AFC East as well. .
The Bills have an 84% chance of qualifying for the playoffs, which also shows how down the AFC is this year. But the Bills also have a 32 percent chance of winning the AFC East as it stands today.
Bills AFC East odds increase dramatically with a few simple things.
The Bills can win the AFC East if these scenarios come true.
- Defeat the Patriots on Sunday after Christmas (in Foxborough).
- Beat the Jets at home to close the regular season schedule.
- The Patriots lose another game.
Why does it seem, well, easier than you might think?
The reason is because of the division tiebreakers. The first tiebreaker is the overall record (duh). The second is a one-on-one, which in this scenario is a washout because the two teams went their separate ways. The third, however, is the division record the Bills will have over the Patriots with a win over New England at Foxborough and a win over the Jets.
Assuming one of those Patriots losses isn’t to Miami, the Patriots are 4-2 in the Division in this scenario. The Bills would go 5-1 to win the tiebreaker for the AFC East.
It all comes down to the fact that the Bills beat the Patriots in Week 16. Without it, it just makes no sense.
The Bills are still very likely to advance to the playoffs if they only beat the Carolina Panthers, Atlanta Falcons and New York Jets, all under 0.500.
Yes, it’s a bad day in Buffalo for Bills fans, but the standings prospects don’t look lost at all.